Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat Ceará with a 20.9% chance and Guaratinguetá beat Ipatinga with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 5.7% | 36.6% | +30.9 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 48.8% | 24.6% | −24.2 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 28.5% | 9.9% | −18.6 |
| Goiás | Champion | 77.8% | 95.0% | +17.1 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 16.5% | 5.0% | −11.4 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 60.7% | 50.6% | −10.1 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 84.9% | 94.4% | +9.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 88.2% | 95.8% | +7.6 |
| Athletico-PR | Champion | 3.9% | 0% | −3.8 |
| CRB | Relegation | 84.5% | 88.2% | +3.6 |
