Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat ASA with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 17 (before the first match) against those on November 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 36.6% | 100% | +63.4 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 50.6% | 0% | −50.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 24.6% | 0% | −24.6 |
| CRB | Relegation | 88.2% | 100% | +11.8 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 9.9% | 0% | −9.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 94.4% | 100% | +5.7 |
| Goiás | Champion | 95.0% | 100% | +5.0 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 5.0% | 0% | −5.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 95.8% | 100% | +4.2 |
