Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat Ceará with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 6 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Champion | 16.9% | 1.8% | −15.1 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 74.4% | 88.2% | +13.8 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 97.2% | 84.9% | −12.3 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 36.4% | 28.5% | −7.9 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 9.4% | 16.5% | +7.1 |
| Goiás | Champion | 71.2% | 77.8% | +6.7 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 92.0% | 98.5% | +6.5 |
| CRB | Relegation | 89.6% | 84.5% | −5.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 0.7% | 5.7% | +5.0 |
