Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Criciúma with a 22.3% chance and Avaí beat ABC with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | Promotion | 13.1% | 36.4% | +23.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 93.3% | 74.4% | −18.9 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 24.0% | 9.4% | −14.7 |
| CRB | Relegation | 77.2% | 89.6% | +12.5 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 12.9% | 0.7% | −12.2 |
| Vitória | Champion | 6.2% | 16.9% | +10.7 |
| Goiás | Champion | 64.0% | 71.2% | +7.2 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 98.1% | 92.0% | −6.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 46.9% | 50.6% | +3.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Champion | 5.7% | 2.4% | −3.3 |
