Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Vitória with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 23 (before the first match) against those on October 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Champion | 19.3% | 47.5% | +28.2 |
| Vitória | Champion | 27.6% | 12.5% | −15.1 |
| Goiás | Champion | 52.2% | 37.6% | −14.6 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 34.4% | 44.7% | +10.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 71.5% | 78.3% | +6.7 |
| ABC | Relegation | 7.5% | 0.9% | −6.6 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 58.8% | 65.1% | +6.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 67.2% | 61.2% | −6.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 61.9% | 56.3% | −5.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 99.2% | 96.1% | −3.1 |
