Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio Barueri beat Criciúma with a 16.0% chance and Paraná beat Ceará with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Champion | 47.1% | 19.3% | −27.8 |
| CRB | Relegation | 47.4% | 71.5% | +24.1 |
| Goiás | Champion | 35.2% | 52.2% | +17.0 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 72.5% | 58.8% | −13.7 |
| Vitória | Champion | 14.5% | 27.6% | +13.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 74.8% | 61.9% | −12.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 94.0% | 99.2% | +5.2 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 38.6% | 34.4% | −4.2 |
