Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Guarani with a 24.0% chance, Athletico-PR beat Vitória with a 22.7% chance, and Guaratinguetá beat Boa Esporte with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 16 (before the first match) against those on October 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Champion | 16.7% | 35.2% | +18.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 48.6% | 66.9% | +18.4 |
| Vitória | Champion | 32.7% | 14.5% | −18.2 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 88.8% | 72.5% | −16.3 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 54.1% | 38.6% | −15.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 36.3% | 47.4% | +11.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 65.2% | 74.8% | +9.6 |
| ABC | Relegation | 10.3% | 4.5% | −5.8 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 98.0% | 94.0% | −4.0 |
