Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Grêmio Barueri with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 26 (before the first match) against those on May 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRB | Relegation | 57.3% | 38.1% | −19.2 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 22.3% | 40.7% | +18.4 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 39.3% | 23.6% | −15.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 38.2% | 23.3% | −15.0 |
| ABC | Promotion | 14.2% | 29.0% | +14.8 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 19.4% | 31.5% | +12.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 47.5% | 35.6% | −11.9 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 19.1% | 30.6% | +11.6 |
| ABC | Relegation | 18.9% | 8.0% | −10.9 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 50.1% | 60.2% | +10.2 |
