Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Criciúma beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 19 (before the first match) against those on July 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 25.4% | 84.4% | +59.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 29.8% | 74.7% | +44.9 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 28.3% | 69.7% | +41.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 35.3% | 76.3% | +41.0 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 43.9% | 6.5% | −37.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 46.6% | 11.7% | −34.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 31.7% | 64.4% | +32.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 37.2% | 5.2% | −32.0 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 32.0% | 5.0% | −27.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 34.1% | 10.6% | −23.5 |
