Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat ABC with a 20.0% chance and Joinville beat Avaí with a 20.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 29 (before the first match) against those on June 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 31.5% | 16.3% | −15.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 47.6% | 32.5% | −15.1 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 32.6% | 46.3% | +13.7 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 30.6% | 43.6% | +13.0 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 19.7% | 31.7% | +12.0 |
| ABC | Promotion | 29.0% | 17.1% | −11.9 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 26.3% | 38.0% | +11.7 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 25.2% | 36.0% | +10.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 35.6% | 46.3% | +10.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 31.7% | 21.0% | −10.6 |
