Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 29 (before the first match) against those on October 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | Promotion | 34.2% | 24.5% | −9.7 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 52.3% | 57.7% | +5.4 |
| ASA | Relegation | 8.1% | 3.1% | −5.0 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 82.8% | 87.6% | +4.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 72.0% | 76.8% | +4.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 78.2% | 82.5% | +4.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 34.3% | 30.2% | −4.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 27.7% | 31.7% | +4.0 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 5.6% | 2.4% | −3.2 |