Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat Guarani with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 6 (before the first match) against those on October 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Champion | 57.0% | 32.7% | −24.4 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 28.6% | 47.6% | +19.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 82.5% | 63.7% | −18.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 31.7% | 46.1% | +14.3 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 24.5% | 11.8% | −12.7 |
| CRB | Relegation | 30.2% | 39.3% | +9.1 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 57.7% | 48.9% | −8.8 |
| Goiás | Champion | 10.7% | 16.9% | +6.1 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 87.6% | 93.4% | +5.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 76.8% | 82.5% | +5.8 |
