Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat ASA with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 15 (before the first match) against those on September 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Promotion | 80.3% | 70.0% | −10.3 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 76.9% | 85.6% | +8.7 |
| Goiás | Champion | 13.1% | 5.3% | −7.8 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 13.2% | 6.4% | −6.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 10.6% | 4.2% | −6.3 |
| ABC | Relegation | 11.5% | 5.6% | −5.9 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 94.0% | 88.6% | −5.4 |
| Vitória | Champion | 66.7% | 72.1% | +5.4 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 53.9% | 59.2% | +5.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 23.7% | 28.4% | +4.8 |
