Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Criciúma with a 20.8% chance and ABC beat São Caetano with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | Promotion | 48.6% | 28.7% | −19.9 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 51.7% | 65.1% | +13.4 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 90.6% | 78.8% | −11.9 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 30.0% | 41.7% | +11.7 |
| ABC | Relegation | 15.2% | 5.6% | −9.6 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 25.5% | 17.0% | −8.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 12.1% | 19.1% | +7.0 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 69.7% | 76.7% | +7.0 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 13.8% | 7.7% | −6.2 |
| Goiás | Champion | 3.9% | 9.7% | +5.7 |
