Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Guarani beat Boa Esporte with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Promotion | 44.1% | 59.1% | +15.0 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 58.3% | 48.1% | −10.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 21.1% | 15.5% | −5.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 9.6% | 15.2% | +5.6 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 27.7% | 33.2% | +5.5 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 8.3% | 2.9% | −5.4 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 60.7% | 55.4% | −5.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 15.0% | 20.0% | +5.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 27.0% | 22.4% | −4.6 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 86.8% | 90.5% | +3.7 |
