Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 23.6% chance and Ceará beat América-MG with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 64.9% | 80.7% | +15.8 |
| CRB | Relegation | 26.8% | 15.0% | −11.8 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 33.2% | 44.1% | +11.0 |
| Vitória | Champion | 58.8% | 68.7% | +9.9 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 69.8% | 60.7% | −9.1 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 36.4% | 27.7% | −8.7 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 29.0% | 20.3% | −8.7 |
| ASA | Relegation | 19.4% | 11.4% | −8.1 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 16.6% | 9.6% | −7.0 |
| ABC | Relegation | 19.8% | 26.4% | +6.6 |
