Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Ceará with a 22.8% chance, Vitória beat Grêmio Barueri with a 24.3% chance, and ASA beat São Caetano with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 17 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 32.0% | 12.7% | −19.3 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 29.7% | 46.6% | +16.9 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 27.8% | 43.9% | +16.2 |
| CRB | Relegation | 28.8% | 43.8% | +15.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 23.9% | 8.9% | −15.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 19.7% | 34.1% | +14.4 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 12.0% | 25.1% | +13.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 16.8% | 29.8% | +13.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 24.3% | 37.2% | +12.9 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 16.5% | 29.2% | +12.7 |
