Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat ABC with a 23.9% chance and Avaí beat Guarani with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 11 (before the first match) against those on August 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Promotion | 62.1% | 45.0% | −17.1 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 37.8% | 49.0% | +11.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 19.8% | 27.3% | +7.5 |
| Goiás | Champion | 13.0% | 5.6% | −7.4 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 93.6% | 86.3% | −7.3 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 93.2% | 86.1% | −7.1 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 12.4% | 5.6% | −6.8 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 16.7% | 10.6% | −6.1 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 15.6% | 21.4% | +5.8 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 13.6% | 19.0% | +5.4 |
