Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletico-PR beat América-RN with a 22.6% chance, Ipatinga beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 15.2% chance, and Vitória beat América-MG with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 4 (before the first match) against those on August 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Promotion | 30.6% | 16.7% | −14.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 26.0% | 39.8% | +13.8 |
| ASA | Relegation | 41.2% | 27.4% | −13.8 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 35.8% | 47.8% | +12.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 31.1% | 19.8% | −11.2 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 52.8% | 62.1% | +9.3 |
| Vitória | Champion | 25.4% | 34.2% | +8.8 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 75.5% | 83.9% | +8.4 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 77.5% | 85.6% | +8.1 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 44.9% | 37.8% | −7.1 |
