Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat Vitória with a 18.2% chance and São Caetano beat Athletico-PR with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Promotion | 38.7% | 52.8% | +14.0 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 32.8% | 44.9% | +12.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 36.2% | 26.0% | −10.2 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 85.1% | 75.5% | −9.6 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 26.8% | 35.8% | +9.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 39.8% | 31.1% | −8.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 69.3% | 77.5% | +8.2 |
| Vitória | Champion | 33.6% | 25.4% | −8.2 |
| ASA | Relegation | 49.2% | 41.2% | −8.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 13.7% | 7.4% | −6.3 |
