Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Joinville beat América-MG with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 28 (before the first match) against those on July 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 55.3% | 39.8% | −15.5 |
| Joinville | Promotion | 15.9% | 26.8% | +10.9 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 61.4% | 69.3% | +7.9 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 38.3% | 44.8% | +6.5 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 24.7% | 31.1% | +6.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 8.3% | 13.7% | +5.4 |
| CRB | Relegation | 11.6% | 6.4% | −5.2 |
| América-MG | Champion | 9.8% | 4.7% | −5.1 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 43.4% | 38.7% | −4.7 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 86.1% | 90.1% | +4.0 |
