Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 21 (before the first match) against those on July 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 66.4% | 55.3% | −11.1 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 35.1% | 24.7% | −10.4 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 29.6% | 38.3% | +8.7 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 23.3% | 14.7% | −8.6 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 77.9% | 86.1% | +8.2 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 35.8% | 43.4% | +7.6 |
| ABC | Relegation | 17.2% | 9.7% | −7.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 53.9% | 61.4% | +7.5 |
| América-MG | Champion | 17.1% | 9.8% | −7.3 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 77.8% | 84.9% | +7.1 |
