Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Athletico-PR with a 24.8% chance and ABC beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 17 (before the first match) against those on July 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Relegation | 29.9% | 17.2% | −12.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Promotion | 23.6% | 13.0% | −10.6 |
| América-MG | Champion | 26.2% | 17.1% | −9.1 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 27.5% | 35.8% | +8.3 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 23.6% | 31.1% | +7.4 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 73.7% | 81.0% | +7.3 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 22.8% | 30.0% | +7.2 |
| Vitória | Champion | 26.7% | 33.9% | +7.2 |
| CRB | Relegation | 17.0% | 10.2% | −6.7 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 73.1% | 66.4% | −6.7 |
