Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Icasa beat Guarani with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 5 (before the first match) against those on November 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icasa | Relegation | 67.7% | 32.8% | −34.9 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 23.2% | 47.1% | +23.9 |
| ASA | Relegation | 18.9% | 42.5% | +23.6 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 17.6% | 5.8% | −11.8 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 44.2% | 34.0% | −10.2 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 7.6% | 16.7% | +9.0 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 4.9% | 1.1% | −3.8 |
