Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vitória beat Boa Esporte with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 22 (before the first match) against those on October 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Promotion | 15.6% | 38.0% | +22.4 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 72.9% | 90.1% | +17.2 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 13.0% | 3.8% | −9.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 22.4% | 13.5% | −8.9 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 35.5% | 26.9% | −8.7 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 19.9% | 11.4% | −8.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 21.9% | 13.7% | −8.2 |
| ABC | Relegation | 11.8% | 19.5% | +7.6 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 6.3% | 3.1% | −3.2 |
