Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Salgueiro beat ASA with a 19.3% chance, Red Bull Bragantino beat Boa Esporte with a 23.8% chance, and Goiás beat Sport with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 38.2% | 19.9% | −18.2 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 22.5% | 40.5% | +17.9 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 7.4% | 21.9% | +14.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 48.5% | 35.5% | −13.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 34.7% | 22.4% | −12.3 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 17.1% | 6.3% | −10.8 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 22.7% | 13.0% | −9.8 |
| ASA | Relegation | 4.1% | 13.4% | +9.3 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 6.3% | 14.9% | +8.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 7.8% | 15.6% | +7.8 |
