Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Grêmio Barueri with a 22.8% chance and ASA beat Guarani with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 15 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 14.6% | 38.2% | +23.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 17.2% | 34.7% | +17.5 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 58.9% | 74.4% | +15.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 33.4% | 22.7% | −10.6 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 21.3% | 10.8% | −10.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 58.3% | 48.5% | −9.8 |
| ASA | Relegation | 11.0% | 4.1% | −6.8 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 23.9% | 17.1% | −6.7 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 93.0% | 98.0% | +5.0 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 6.7% | 1.8% | −5.0 |
