Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 24 (before the first match) against those on September 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 28.3% | 44.8% | +16.5 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 65.8% | 50.9% | −14.9 |
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 75.6% | 87.3% | +11.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 27.5% | 16.9% | −10.6 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 67.2% | 76.6% | +9.4 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 31.7% | 22.4% | −9.3 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 48.3% | 57.3% | +9.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 57.8% | 48.8% | −9.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 77.5% | 68.6% | −8.9 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 24.8% | 33.5% | +8.7 |
