Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Guarani beat Boa Esporte with a 22.9% chance and ABC beat Goiás with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 10 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Relegation | 39.4% | 22.8% | −16.5 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 75.5% | 66.2% | −9.2 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 45.3% | 54.0% | +8.7 |
| Náutico | Champion | 20.6% | 12.0% | −8.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 8.9% | 16.4% | +7.5 |
| ABC | Relegation | 12.5% | 5.6% | −6.9 |
| Boa Esporte | Promotion | 11.4% | 4.6% | −6.8 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 49.0% | 55.5% | +6.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 37.2% | 43.7% | +6.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 42.3% | 48.6% | +6.4 |
