Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Goiás with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náutico | Promotion | 54.8% | 70.9% | +16.1 |
| ABC | Relegation | 23.7% | 13.6% | −10.1 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 30.0% | 39.4% | +9.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 28.1% | 19.2% | −8.9 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 18.2% | 10.2% | −8.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 23.3% | 30.7% | +7.3 |
| Portuguesa | Champion | 45.8% | 53.0% | +7.2 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 31.0% | 37.7% | +6.6 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 31.9% | 25.6% | −6.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 80.0% | 73.8% | −6.2 |
