Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Red Bull Bragantino beat ABC with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 25.5% | 37.3% | +11.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 21.1% | 10.0% | −11.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 69.9% | 80.0% | +10.0 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 39.8% | 30.0% | −9.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 22.2% | 31.9% | +9.8 |
| ABC | Relegation | 14.4% | 23.7% | +9.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 19.0% | 28.1% | +9.1 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 14.9% | 23.9% | +9.0 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 39.9% | 31.0% | −8.9 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 62.6% | 54.8% | −7.8 |
