Round 19

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
GuaraniRelegation30.4%39.9%+9.6
SalgueiroRelegation76.1%85.5%+9.4
Grêmio BarueriRelegation18.3%9.2%−9.0
Vila NovaRelegation17.5%25.5%+8.0
Red Bull BragantinoRelegation28.6%21.1%−7.5
ParanáPromotion29.8%22.7%−7.1
SportPromotion19.6%26.0%+6.4
GuaratinguetáPromotion16.0%22.2%+6.2
Boa EsporteRelegation19.1%13.4%−5.7
Grêmio BarueriPromotion6.1%11.3%+5.3
Home 51.8%
Draw 24.7%
Away 23.5%
Home 54.3%
Draw 24.0%
Away 21.7%
Home 59.4%
Draw 22.5%
Away 18.0%
Home 52.4%
Draw 24.5%
Away 23.0%
Home 50.0%
Draw 25.3%
Away 24.7%
Home 46.9%
Draw 26.2%
Away 26.9%
Home 53.1%
Draw 24.4%
Away 22.6%
Home 57.9%
Draw 23.0%
Away 19.1%
Home 49.9%
Draw 25.3%
Away 24.8%
Home 53.3%
Draw 24.3%
Away 22.4%