Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Boa Esporte beat São Caetano with a 17.6% chance and Criciúma beat Duque de Caxias with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 21 (before the first match) against those on May 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 45.0% | 26.8% | −18.2 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 16.5% | 32.1% | +15.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 34.6% | 20.4% | −14.3 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 27.0% | 14.5% | −12.4 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 37.9% | 26.1% | −11.9 |
| Icasa | Promotion | 12.2% | 22.7% | +10.6 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 18.2% | 28.7% | +10.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 9.2% | 19.6% | +10.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 28.9% | 18.6% | −10.3 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 30.0% | 20.1% | −9.9 |
