Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Portuguesa with a 17.6% chance, São Caetano beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 21.4% chance, and Guarani beat Vitória with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 28 (before the first match) against those on June 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Promotion | 26.7% | 41.6% | +14.9 |
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 33.2% | 18.9% | −14.3 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 28.7% | 41.9% | +13.2 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 40.5% | 27.6% | −12.9 |
| ABC | Relegation | 31.1% | 18.5% | −12.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 18.6% | 30.4% | +11.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 14.5% | 26.3% | +11.8 |
| ASA | Relegation | 21.1% | 32.4% | +11.4 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 32.1% | 21.2% | −10.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 23.3% | 33.3% | +10.0 |
