Round 1

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on May 19 (before the first match) against those on May 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Ponte PretaRelegation25.0%9.2%−15.8
PortuguesaPromotion26.4%40.6%+14.2
Ponte PretaPromotion15.2%28.9%+13.7
NáuticoRelegation22.8%36.1%+13.4
ASARelegation16.0%28.7%+12.7
ASAPromotion22.1%10.8%−11.2
Grêmio BarueriPromotion28.4%19.7%−8.7
ParanáPromotion24.3%32.9%+8.6
NáuticoPromotion16.2%8.1%−8.1
PortuguesaRelegation10.7%4.0%−6.7
Home 52.7%
Draw 24.5%
Away 22.8%
Home 58.1%
Draw 22.9%
Away 19.0%
Home 45.3%
Draw 26.7%
Away 28.0%
Home 41.5%
Draw 27.9%
Away 30.6%
Home 49.4%
Draw 25.5%
Away 25.2%
Home 48.8%
Draw 25.6%
Away 25.6%
Home 56.9%
Draw 23.2%
Away 19.8%
Home 55.8%
Draw 23.6%
Away 20.7%
Home 60.7%
Draw 22.2%
Away 17.1%
Home 42.5%
Draw 27.6%
Away 29.9%