Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 19 (before the first match) against those on May 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 25.0% | 9.2% | −15.8 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 26.4% | 40.6% | +14.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 15.2% | 28.9% | +13.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 22.8% | 36.1% | +13.4 |
| ASA | Relegation | 16.0% | 28.7% | +12.7 |
| ASA | Promotion | 22.1% | 10.8% | −11.2 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 28.4% | 19.7% | −8.7 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 24.3% | 32.9% | +8.6 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 16.2% | 8.1% | −8.1 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 10.7% | 4.0% | −6.7 |