Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Guaratinguetá with a 22.1% chance and Red Bull Bragantino beat Ponte Preta with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 16 (before the first match) against those on July 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 60.4% | 45.7% | −14.7 |
| Portuguesa | Champion | 27.9% | 41.6% | +13.7 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 46.7% | 60.2% | +13.5 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 30.5% | 17.5% | −13.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 27.0% | 14.8% | −12.2 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 70.1% | 81.4% | +11.4 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 21.3% | 11.0% | −10.3 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 28.9% | 18.8% | −10.0 |
| Sport | Promotion | 22.2% | 31.5% | +9.3 |
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 33.0% | 41.6% | +8.6 |
