Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Icasa beat Grêmio Barueri with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 10 (before the first match) against those on July 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 39.2% | 27.0% | −12.2 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 58.7% | 70.1% | +11.4 |
| Boa Esporte | Relegation | 26.3% | 37.1% | +10.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 40.9% | 30.1% | −10.7 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 29.0% | 39.0% | +10.0 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 33.5% | 23.7% | −9.8 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 33.5% | 24.5% | −9.0 |
| Salgueiro | Relegation | 41.6% | 33.0% | −8.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 52.1% | 60.4% | +8.2 |
| Sport | Promotion | 30.1% | 22.2% | −7.9 |
