Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, no draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Guarani with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 2 (before the first match) against those on July 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Promotion | 54.5% | 40.6% | −14.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 65.4% | 52.1% | −13.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 26.9% | 17.0% | −9.9 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 23.4% | 13.7% | −9.8 |
| ABC | Promotion | 22.4% | 32.0% | +9.6 |
| ASA | Relegation | 20.1% | 11.4% | −8.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 32.8% | 40.9% | +8.0 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 21.3% | 29.0% | +7.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 25.9% | 33.5% | +7.6 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 31.8% | 39.2% | +7.4 |
