Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat ASA with a 18.2% chance and Santo André beat Bahia with a 17.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 13 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 96.5% | 64.4% | −32.1 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 76.5% | >99.9% | +23.5 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 80.0% | 59.0% | −21.0 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 31.8% | 47.4% | +15.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 14.1% | 29.2% | +15.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 74.0% | 89.1% | +15.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 10.2% | 0% | −10.2 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 15.8% | 10.9% | −4.9 |
| Bahia | Champion | 3.4% | 0% | −3.4 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 96.6% | 100% | +3.4 |
