Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat Brasiliense with a 22.4% chance, Icasa beat Ponte Preta with a 21.8% chance, and Paraná beat ASA with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 9 (before the first match) against those on November 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 48.8% | 80.0% | +31.2 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 27.1% | 1.7% | −25.4 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 92.1% | 76.5% | −15.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 59.7% | 74.0% | +14.3 |
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 20.5% | 31.8% | +11.3 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 86.8% | 96.6% | +9.8 |
| Sport | Promotion | 18.2% | 10.2% | −8.0 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 7.9% | 0% | −7.9 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 23.5% | 15.8% | −7.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 3.3% | 0% | −3.3 |
