Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brasiliense beat América-RN with a 24.3% chance, Guaratinguetá beat Coritiba with a 16.2% chance, and Portuguesa beat Sport with a 22.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 20 (before the first match) against those on November 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guaratinguetá | Relegation | 47.4% | 0% | −47.4 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 59.0% | 100% | +41.0 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 64.4% | 100% | +35.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 29.2% | 0% | −29.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 89.1% | 100% | +10.9 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 10.9% | 0% | −10.9 |
