Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Ponte Preta with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Champion | 52.8% | 77.4% | +24.7 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 62.4% | 44.7% | −17.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 41.3% | 24.1% | −17.2 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 30.6% | 14.0% | −16.6 |
| Sport | Promotion | 36.0% | 19.5% | −16.5 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 66.5% | 81.3% | +14.8 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 14.1% | 24.3% | +10.2 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 80.5% | 89.9% | +9.5 |
| Bahia | Champion | 14.0% | 5.6% | −8.5 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 5.8% | 13.9% | +8.1 |
