Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Duque de Caxias beat Portuguesa with a 19.9% chance and Ipatinga beat Sport with a 14.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | Champion | 41.7% | 60.0% | +18.3 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 32.1% | 16.0% | −16.1 |
| Sport | Promotion | 40.4% | 24.3% | −16.1 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 54.0% | 69.3% | +15.4 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 43.8% | 30.2% | −13.6 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 68.4% | 79.2% | +10.8 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 51.1% | 61.2% | +10.0 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 64.2% | 54.5% | −9.7 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 19.4% | 9.8% | −9.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 10.0% | 18.4% | +8.4 |
