Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: ASA beat Icasa with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 28 (before the first match) against those on October 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | Relegation | 31.8% | 13.4% | −18.4 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 52.6% | 68.4% | +15.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 35.8% | 23.0% | −12.8 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 32.7% | 43.8% | +11.2 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 14.9% | 8.0% | −6.9 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 60.8% | 54.0% | −6.8 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 81.1% | 87.4% | +6.2 |
| Bahia | Champion | 13.1% | 7.6% | −5.5 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 56.5% | 51.1% | −5.4 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 9.8% | 15.1% | +5.3 |
