Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 18 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 46.7% | 60.9% | +14.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 70.1% | 82.1% | +12.0 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 23.1% | 34.5% | +11.4 |
| ASA | Relegation | 27.0% | 17.1% | −9.9 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 26.2% | 36.1% | +9.9 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 72.1% | 62.9% | −9.2 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 69.8% | 60.9% | −8.9 |
| Bahia | Champion | 23.8% | 15.2% | −8.6 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 24.0% | 16.1% | −7.8 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 11.9% | 5.6% | −6.3 |
