Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 8 home wins, no draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-MG beat Figueirense with a 19.0% chance and Bahia beat Ponte Preta with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on September 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-MG | Promotion | 28.8% | 46.0% | +17.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 62.2% | 46.7% | −15.5 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 39.2% | 24.0% | −15.2 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 55.7% | 69.8% | +14.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 59.0% | 70.1% | +11.1 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 82.9% | 72.1% | −10.8 |
| Bahia | Champion | 13.5% | 23.8% | +10.3 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 51.1% | 41.6% | −9.5 |
| Sport | Promotion | 31.5% | 40.7% | +9.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 46.4% | 37.2% | −9.2 |
