Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 75.3% | 62.2% | −13.1 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 34.5% | 45.2% | +10.8 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 27.7% | 17.5% | −10.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 72.0% | 62.2% | −9.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 26.2% | 35.7% | +9.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Champion | 24.4% | 15.3% | −9.1 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 20.9% | 12.3% | −8.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 27.1% | 35.6% | +8.5 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 21.3% | 29.3% | +8.0 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 52.2% | 59.6% | +7.4 |
