Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Paraná with a 14.7% chance, Ponte Preta beat Portuguesa with a 20.0% chance, América-MG beat Guaratinguetá with a 24.1% chance, and Red Bull Bragantino beat Santo André with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo André | Relegation | 18.3% | 34.3% | +16.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 24.6% | 40.4% | +15.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 23.1% | 38.2% | +15.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 32.2% | 21.2% | −11.0 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 56.1% | 45.3% | −10.8 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 75.5% | 65.1% | −10.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 78.9% | 71.2% | −7.8 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 44.6% | 37.0% | −7.6 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 71.9% | 64.6% | −7.2 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 48.7% | 41.7% | −6.9 |
