Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat América-RN with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 10 (before the first match) against those on August 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 66.3% | 56.1% | −10.1 |
| Portuguesa | Champion | 24.2% | 14.6% | −9.5 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 29.5% | 20.2% | −9.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 64.0% | 71.9% | +7.9 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 56.6% | 64.2% | +7.5 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 71.4% | 78.9% | +7.5 |
| ASA | Relegation | 16.2% | 8.7% | −7.5 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 22.0% | 29.2% | +7.2 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 37.5% | 44.6% | +7.1 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 19.3% | 24.6% | +5.3 |
