Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Coritiba with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 7 (before the first match) against those on August 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | Promotion | 31.5% | 44.6% | +13.0 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 74.5% | 64.0% | −10.5 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 32.0% | 22.0% | −10.0 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 56.6% | 66.3% | +9.7 |
| Portuguesa | Champion | 15.1% | 24.2% | +9.1 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 28.3% | 19.3% | −9.0 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 24.6% | 15.6% | −9.0 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 65.4% | 56.6% | −8.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 23.3% | 31.9% | +8.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 23.3% | 15.0% | −8.3 |
